event9 outcomes

Washington's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 15:31 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Washington's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “McKinney, 5+ pts” at 80%, “McKinney, 17+ pts” at 21% and “McKinney, 11+ pts” at 0%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$13

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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McKinney, 5+ pts

rank #1

United States

80¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$12

vol 24h

spread

0.12

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

McKinney, 5+ pts · prices over time

−24h

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no price history yet

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