Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?
·PoliticsIf the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls