Question 1

What is the current probability for "Elon Musk net worth on August 13, 2026"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Elon Musk net worth on August 13, 2026" are Above 850 billion 87%, Above 875 billion 74%, Above 900 billion 26% — 2 of 8 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/21/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMUSKNW-26AUG13. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.