What is the current probability for "NASCAR Matchup: Gilliland vs Elliott"?

Current Kalshi odds for "NASCAR Matchup: Gilliland vs Elliott": Todd Gilliland beats Chase Elliott 95%, Chase Elliott beats Todd Gilliland 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/26/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNASCARH2H-WINW26TOGICHEL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

NASCAR Matchup: Gilliland vs Elliott

·Sports·ends Jul 26, 2026

vol cum

$16.2k

vol 24h

$15.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 26, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Todd Gilliland beats Chase Elliott

rank #1 · resolved: yes

95¢

▲ 74.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.7k

vol 24h

$6.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 26, 2026

If Todd Gilliland achieves a better finishing position than Chase Elliott in the Window World 450 main race originally scheduled for July 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

Todd Gilliland beats Chase Elliott · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.