What is the current probability for "South Point 400 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "South Point 400 Winner": Denny Hamlin 19%, Kyle Larson 17%, Christopher Bell 12% (top 3 of 36 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 12, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNASCARRACE-SOUP26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event36 outcomes

South Point 400 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 12, 2026

vol cum

$11.9k

vol 24h

$11.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 36

marketselected outcome

Denny Hamlin

rank #1

19¢

▲ 19.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$563

vol 24h

$563

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 12, 2026

If Denny Hamlin finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 South Point 400 originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 12, 2026

Denny Hamlin · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.