What is the current probability for "Natural gas price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Natural gas price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?": above $2.860 70%, above $2.850 68%, above $2.855 68% (top 3 of 60 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNATGASD-26JUL1517. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event60 outcomes

Natural gas price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

·Commodities·ends Jul 22, 2026

vol cum

$15.2k

vol 24h

$15.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 60

marketselected outcome

above $2.860

rank #1

70¢

▲ 70.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

$1k

spread

0.05

ends

Jul 22, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.860 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 22, 2026

above $2.860 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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