What is the current probability for "Natural gas price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Natural gas price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?": above $2.800 78%, above $2.805 70%, above $2.810 67% (top 3 of 70 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNATGASD-26JUL2117. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event70 outcomes

Natural gas price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

·Commodities·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$18.6k

vol 24h

$18.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 70

marketselected outcome

above $2.800

rank #1

78¢

▲ 8.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$507

vol 24h

$507

spread

0.04

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.800 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

above $2.800 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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