What is the current probability for "Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest: Winner Without Miki Sudo"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest: Winner Without Miki Sudo": Michelle Lesco 63%, Domenica Dee 33%, Cherish Brown 1% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNATHANSWINNERWO-26WOMENMSUD. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event11 outcomes

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest: Winner Without Miki Sudo

·Sports·ends Jul 19, 2026

vol cum

$32.3k

vol 24h

$31.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Michelle Lesco

rank #1

63¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.4k

vol 24h

$2.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 19, 2026

If Michelle Lesco eats the most hot dogs excluding Miki Sudo in the Women's Division of the 2026 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 28, 2026opencloses · Jul 19, 2026

Michelle Lesco · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.