Question 1

What is the current probability for "What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/11/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAY27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Markets

2028 / Campaign

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Democracy

ID / Identification

Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting

Trump (3+ times)

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Corrupt / Corruption

Fraud

Iran / Iranian

Karen / Bass

Event does not qualify

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Republican

Spencer / Pratt