What is the current probability for "KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders: 4th Quarter Spread "?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders: 4th Quarter Spread" are KC Chiefs wins by over 17.5 points 78%, KC Chiefs wins by over 3.5 points 59%, KC Chiefs wins by over 14.5 points 34% — 2 of 13 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT04KCLV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event13 outcomes

KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders: 4th Quarter Spread

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$26.6k

vol 24h

$23.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points

rank #1

97¢

▲ 54.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.7k

vol 24h

$3.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If KC Chiefs wins by more than 1.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 29, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.