What is the current probability for "Highest natural gas spot price in 2026"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest natural gas spot price in 2026": $4.01 or above 67%, $4.51 or above 55%, $6.01 or above 45% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/14/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNGASMAX-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

Highest natural gas spot price in 2026

·Economy·ends Jan 14, 2027

vol cum

$64.1k

vol 24h

$36.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 14, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

$4.01 or above

rank #1

67¢

▼ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$17.4k

vol 24h

$14.3k

spread

0.31

ends

Jan 14, 2027

If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price above $4.00 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Mar 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 14, 2027

$4.01 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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Highest natural gas spot price in​ 2026

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Highest natural gas spot price in 2026