What is the current probability for "How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?" are At least ¥73,000 34%, At least ¥74,000 28%, At least ¥80,000 24% — 3 of 11 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 8, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNIKKEI-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?

·Finance·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$16.8k

vol 24h

$14.1k

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

At least ¥70,000

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

vol cum

$4.1k

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Jan 8, 2027

If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥70,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 16, 2026closedresolved · Jun 19, 2026

At least ¥70,000 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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