What is the current probability for "What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?": Above 4.1 million 94%, Above 4.2 million 89%, Above 4.3 million 67% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Feb 8, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNYCSUBWAY-26OCT31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

·Elections·ends Feb 8, 2027

vol cum

$140.7k

vol 24h

$50.6k

outcomes

ends

Feb 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Above 4.1 million

rank #1

United States

94¢

vol cum

$6.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Feb 8, 2027

If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.1 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Feb 8, 2027

Above 4.1 million · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history