What is the current probability for "Oscar nominees: Best Picture"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Oscar nominees: Best Picture" are Wild Horse Nine 86%, Project Hail Mary 82%, Dune: Part Three 80% — 2 of 52 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 31, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXOSCARNOMPIC-27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.