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Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
·Elections·ends Feb 2, 2027vol cum
$2.5k
vol 24h
$2.5k
outcomes
7
ends
Feb 2, 2027
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marketselected outcome
D+37 to D+39.9
rank #1
United States
18¢
▲ 18.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$1.7k
spread
0.19
ends
Feb 2, 2027
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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opened · Sep 24, 2026opencloses · Feb 2, 2027
D+37 to D+39.9 · prices over time
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