Question 1

What is the current probability for "4th Round Head-to-Head: Thompson vs Lebioda"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "4th Round Head-to-Head: Thompson vs Lebioda": Michael Thompson beats Hank Lebioda in the 4th Round 77%, Hank Lebioda beats Michael Thompson in the 4th Round 5% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Oct 4, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXPGAH2H-BICA26R4MTHOHLEB. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

4th Round Head-to-Head: Thompson vs Lebioda

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