Question 1

What is the current probability for "Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 5/19/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?

Markets

Christine Drazan, 5-10%

Christine Drazan, 20-25%

Christine Drazan, ≥25%

Christine Drazan, 10-15%

Christine Drazan, 15-20%

Christine Drazan, 0-5%

Ed Diehl, 10-15%

Ed Diehl, 0-5%

Ed Diehl, ≥15%

Ed Diehl, 5-10%