Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?

·Economy

United States

If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will use the seasonally adjusted labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54 reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release for series LNS11300060. Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.