What is the current probability for "Quebec general election: 2nd place"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Quebec general election: 2nd place": Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) 43%, Quebec Liberal Party 30%, Parti Québécois 19% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXQUEBEC2ND-26OCT05-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

Quebec general election: 2nd place

·Elections·ends Oct 5, 2027

vol cum

$15.4k

vol 24h

$15.4k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)

rank #1

Canada

43¢

▲ 43.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.7k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 5, 2027

If Équipe Christine Fréchette - Coalition avenir Québec finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Quebec general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2027

Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history