What is the current probability for "Where will it rain on Oct 1, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Where will it rain on Oct 1, 2026?": Chicago 95%, Dallas 93%, Milwaukee 93% (top 3 of 28 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 3, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXRAIN-26OCT01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event28 outcomes

Where will it rain on Oct 1, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Oct 3, 2026

vol cum

$13k

vol 24h

$13k

outcomes

ends

Oct 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 28

marketselected outcome

Chicago

rank #1

95¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$561

vol 24h

$548

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 3, 2026

If the total precipitation at CLIORD in Chicago in Oct 1, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026opencloses · Oct 3, 2026

Chicago · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history