What is the current probability for "Where will it rain on Oct 3, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Where will it rain on Oct 3, 2026?": New Orleans 96%, Dallas 86%, Atlanta 80% (top 3 of 30 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXRAIN-26OCT03. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event30 outcomes

Where will it rain on Oct 3, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$17.8k

vol 24h

$17.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 30

marketselected outcome

New Orleans

rank #1

96¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$344

vol 24h

$311

spread

0.05

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If the total precipitation at CLIMSY in New Orleans in Oct 3, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

New Orleans · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history