What is the current probability for "Where will it rain on Sep 28, 2026?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Where will it rain on Sep 28, 2026?" are Newark 92%, Trenton 87%, Philadelphia 82% — 3 of 28 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 30, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXRAIN-26SEP28. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event28 outcomes

Where will it rain on Sep 28, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 30, 2026

vol cum

$12.5k

vol 24h

$12.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 28

marketselected outcome

Boston

rank #1

98¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.1k

vol 24h

$2.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 30, 2026

If the total precipitation at CLIBOS in Boston in Sep 28, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 27, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026

Boston · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history