Question 1

What is the current probability for "Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?" are Above 3 inches 92%, Above 4 inches 77%, Above 6 inches 47% — 2 of 7 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Nov 16, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXRAINMIAM-26OCT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.