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Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Kalshi·Politics
United StatesIran
5%
2.6pp
24h change
vol cum
$1M
vol 24h
$2k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes
No 95¢

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.

timeline
opened · Jan 8, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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