Red wave in 2026?
As of 10:27 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Red wave in 2026?” at 1% (-3pp in 24h). The market has $513.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Limitless and Myriad.
If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U.S. House (SEATSCONGRESS), U.S. Senate (SEATSCONGRESS).