Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?
As of 15:19 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?” at 7%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
If the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announces its revocation of, or an amendment to, Russia-related General License 135 so that the license no longer authorizes the importation into the United States of diesel fuel of Russian Federation origin before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An action that still authorizes the importation of Russian-origin diesel into the United States, including a narrowing of General License 135 or a replacement license, does not qualify.
