What is the current probability for "Will the South Carolina special Republican primary be won outright?"?

"Yes" is currently 48% on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSCRSENSOUTRIGHT-26AUG11. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

marketsingle market

Will the South Carolina special Republican primary be won outright?

·Elections

United States

48%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 11, 2027

Yes 48¢

No 52¢

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special Republican primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2027

First-round winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · 24h windows

no volume history