What is the current probability for "Florida Republican Senate nominee?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Florida Republican Senate nominee?": Ashley Moody 94%, Ron DeSantis 6%, José R. Oliva 2% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSENATEFLR-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event10 outcomes

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2026

vol cum

$90.1k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Ashley Moody

rank #1

United States

94¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$36.2k

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Nov 3, 2026

If Ashley Moody wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 4, 2024opencloses · Nov 3, 2026

prices over time · Ashley Moody highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history