Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth?
As of 21:40 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth?” at 17% (-25pp in 24h). The market has $3.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
If the U.S. Senate votes to convict Pete Hegseth on at least one article of impeachment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency before Jan 1, 2028. The Senate convicts Pete Hegseth when at least two-thirds of the senators present vote guilty on at least one article of impeachment against him. A conviction vote counts whether or not he is still in office on the day of the vote. The following do NOT count: A House vote to impeach him without a Senate conviction A Senate vote short of two-thirds, or a vote to dismiss or table the articles
