Question 1

What is the current probability for "Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 9/4/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSHOP-26AUGGMV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2

Markets

Above $116 billion

Above $120 billion

Above $108 billion

Above $112 billion

Above $124 billion