Question 1

What is the current probability for "SOFR for September 8, 2026"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "SOFR for September 8, 2026": 3.66% or Above 37%, Exactly 3.64% 25%, Exactly 3.65% 24% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSOFRD-26SEP09. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.