What is the current probability for "Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 1am EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 1am EDT?": 78° or above 99%, 79° or above 99%, 80° or above 99% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPAUSH-26AUG0401. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event10 outcomes

Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 1am EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$28.4k

vol 24h

$28.4k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

78° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4k

vol 24h

$1.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 11, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 4, 2026 1 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026closedresolved · Aug 4, 2026

78° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history