What is the current probability for "Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 9pm EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 9pm EDT?": 88° or above 99%, 89° or above 99%, 90° or above 99% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPAUSH-26AUG0421. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026 at 9pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$11.8k

vol 24h

$11.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

88° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 12, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 4, 2026 9 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 5, 2026closedresolved · Aug 5, 2026

88° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history