What is the current probability for "Temperature in Austin on Jul 25, 2026 at 10pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Austin on Jul 25, 2026 at 10pm EDT?" are 91° or above 3% — 7 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPAUSH-26JUL2522. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Austin on Jul 25, 2026 at 10pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$10.1k

vol 24h

$10.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

82° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

99¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 2, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Jul 25, 2026 10 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 26, 2026closedresolved · Jul 26, 2026

82° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history