What is the current probability for "Temperature in Chicago on Jul 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Temperature in Chicago on Jul 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?": 77° or above 99%, 78° or above 99%, 79° or above 99% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPCHIH-26JUL2117. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$27.6k

vol 24h

$27.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

77° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Jul 21, 2026 5 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026closedresolved · Jul 21, 2026

77° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history