What is the current probability for "Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?": 60° or above 99%, 61° or above 99%, 62° or above 99% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/29/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPCHIH-26JUL2203. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event10 outcomes

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 29, 2026

vol cum

$14.7k

vol 24h

$14.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

60° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.3k

vol 24h

$1.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 29, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Jul 22, 2026 3 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026closedresolved · Jul 22, 2026

60° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history