What is the current probability for "Temperature in Washington DC on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Washington DC on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?" are 88° or above 15% — 6 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0316. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Washington DC on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 10, 2026

vol cum

$13k

vol 24h

$13k

outcomes

ends

Aug 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

81° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 7.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$93

vol 24h

$93

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 10, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 3, 2026 4 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026closedresolved · Aug 3, 2026

81° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history