What is the current probability for "Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?" are 80° or above 3% — 4 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPDCH-26JUL1309. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$11.7k

vol 24h

$11.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

71° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.9k

vol 24h

$1.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 20, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Jul 13, 2026 9 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026closedresolved · Jul 13, 2026

71° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history