What is the current probability for "Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 4, 2026 at 8pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 4, 2026 at 8pm EDT?" are 75° or above 59%, 76° or above 4% — 6 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0420. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 4, 2026 at 8pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$13.8k

vol 24h

$11.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

69° or above

rank #1

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 12, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 8 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026opencloses · Aug 12, 2026

69° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history