What is the current probability for "Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 23, 2026 at 2pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 23, 2026 at 2pm EDT?" are 77° or above 92% — 6 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPLAXH-26JUL2314. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event10 outcomes

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 23, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 30, 2026

vol cum

$11.2k

vol 24h

$11.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

72° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$49

vol 24h

$49

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 30, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Jul 23, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026closedresolved · Jul 23, 2026

72° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history