What is the current probability for "Temperature in Miami on Aug 15, 2026 at 10pm EDT? (Synoptic)"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Miami on Aug 15, 2026 at 10pm EDT? (Synoptic)" are 80° or above 75%, 86° or above 18% — 6 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPMIAH-26AUG1522. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Miami on Aug 15, 2026 at 10pm EDT? (Synoptic)

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 23, 2026

vol cum

$14.8k

vol 24h

$14.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

79° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

99¢

▲ 13.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$129

vol 24h

$129

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 23, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 15, 2026 at 10 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 16, 2026closedresolved · Aug 16, 2026

79° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history