What is the current probability for "Temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? (Synoptic)"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? (Synoptic)" are 91° or above 31% — 4 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPMIAH-26AUG1617. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.