What is the current probability for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?" are 82° or above 87%, 83° or above 10%, 84° or above 9% — 3 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 11, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPMIAH-26SEP0416. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event10 outcomes

Temperature in Miami on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 11, 2026

vol cum

$13.4k

vol 24h

$13.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

79° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$111

vol 24h

$111

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 11, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 4, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 4, 2026closedresolved · Sep 4, 2026

79° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history