What is the current probability for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?" are 84° or above 84%, 85° or above 4% — 4 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 28, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPMIAH-26SEP2114. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 28, 2026

vol cum

$28k

vol 24h

$28k

outcomes

ends

Sep 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

80° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4k

vol 24h

$1.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 28, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 21, 2026 at 2 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026closedresolved · Sep 21, 2026

80° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history