What is the current probability for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?" are 81° or above 93%, 82° or above 90%, 83° or above 3% — 4 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 30, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPMIAH-26SEP2317. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 30, 2026

vol cum

$22.6k

vol 24h

$22.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

77° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

$1k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 30, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 23, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 23, 2026closedresolved · Sep 23, 2026

77° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history