Question 1

What is the current probability for "Temperature in New York City on Aug 12, 2026 at 12am EDT?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Temperature in New York City on Aug 12, 2026 at 12am EDT?": 77° or above 90%, 78° or above 56%, 79° or above 17% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/19/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPNYCH-26AUG1200. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.