What is the current probability for "Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?" are 78° or above 8% — 6 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTEMPNYCH-26AUG2114. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 28, 2026

vol cum

$11.3k

vol 24h

$11.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

74° or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$770

vol 24h

$770

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 28, 2026

If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 21, 2026closedresolved · Aug 21, 2026

74° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history