What is the current probability for "Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?": Before Nov 13, 2026 88%, Before Jul 1, 2027 55% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTHCHEMP-26JUL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?

·Politics·ends Jul 1, 2027

vol cum

$2.6k

vol 24h

$2.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Nov 13, 2026

rank #1

United States

88¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.2k

vol 24h

$2.2k

spread

0.04

ends

Nov 13, 2026

If legislation allowing finished hemp-derived beverages containing at least 5 milligrams of total THC per retail container to remain hemp under federal law has become law after Issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history