Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?
As of 23:16 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?” at 55% (-22pp in 24h). The market has $3.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
If the Senate Republican Conference elects John Thune as its leader for the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency before Nov 11, 2026. The Senate Republican Conference elects John Thune as its leader when it chooses him to lead the conference for the 120th Congress, whether the post is styled Republican Leader or Minority Leader, and whether by ballot, voice vote or acclamation. The conference's leadership election is scheduled for Nov 10, 2026. The following do NOT count: An election held on or after Nov 11, 2026, including after a postponement Election to any other conference post, such as whip A report before the election that John Thune is expected to win, is unopposed or has the votes
