Question 1

What is the current probability for "Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026?": Bruno Mars 60%, Ariana Grande 22%, Justin Bieber 13% (top 3 of 13 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 9/7/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTOPMONTHLY-26AUG. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026?

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